Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Study #230343 – | page 01 of 23 | November 2023 NBC News Survey
Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 833 respondents interviewed via cellphone. | Date: November 10-14, 2023
https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/24171452-230343-nbc-november-2023-poll_111923-release-v2
The erosion for Biden is most pronounced among Democrats, a majority of whom believe Israel has gone too far in its military action in Gaza, and among voters ages 18 to 34, with a whopping 70% of them disapproving of Biden’s handling of the war.
But Horwitt cautioned that Biden can bring these disaffected Democrats and younger voters back into the fold. “These are people who have a proven track record in voting for Biden and Democrats,” he said.
Yet what stands out in the new survey is the shift among voters ages 18 to 34. In September, 46% of these voters said they approved of Biden’s job performance.
The NBC News poll — conducted Nov. 10-14 — comes more than a month after the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel, which killed more than 1,000 Israelis, and the subsequent war in Gaza, which has killed thousands more Palestinians, according to Gaza health officials.
All of this is shaping a general election that’s still some 350 days away. Biden trails Donald Trump for the first time in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup in the NBC News poll, though the deficit falls well within the survey’s margin of error.
Meanwhile, despite lower approval ratings from members of his own party, Biden gets support from a whopping 77% of national Democratic primary voters in the first NBC News poll to test the party’s 2024 presidential primary.
Looking ahead to the 2024 congressional elections, 47% of registered voters say they prefer a Republican-controlled Congress, versus 45% who want Democrats in charge. Back in September’s poll, voters split 46% Democratic, 45% Republican on this question.
Learned of article per, Rising, The Hill:
Biden Unelectable After Support From Young Dems Craters; Israel Stance Dooming Reelection: Rising [8:45 | Briahna Joy Gray and Robby Soave | 11/20/23 | The Hill]
His stance on Israel isn’t dooming shit. I’m not voting for him in the primary, but if it winds up being him as the frontrunner, I will in the general, because the alternative will be disastrous.
Also, the election is almost a full year away. Remember Afghanistan? Neither does anybody else. The public forgets quickly.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
“Failed promises, student loans, foreign policy in general,” said Democrat Zico Schell, 23, of San Diego, when asked why he disapproves of Biden’s job performance.
“Jury verdicts in Trump’s trials, unforeseen events both foreign and domestic, and the rigors of a campaign all have a funny way of upending what may be true today,” Horwitt said.
By party, only half of Democratic voters (51%) say they approve of Biden’s handling of the war, compared with majorities of independents (59%) and Republicans (69%) who say they disapprove.
The poll finds a plurality of American voters, 47%, believing that Israel is defending its interests in the war, and that its military actions in Gaza are justified.
Biden trails Donald Trump for the first time in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup in the NBC News poll, though the deficit falls well within the survey’s margin of error.
Additionally, the NBC News poll shows Trump maintaining a significant national lead over his rivals in the Republican contest for president.
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